Tuesday PM update:
12z runs were not overly kind to us in the Wasatch hoping for good snow out of this first system. I’ve been skeptical for several days now that the track was too far south. Yesterday I was surprised to see 1-2 feet in the NWS forecast for the Central Wasatch. I stuck with my prediction of 6-14″ and I think even that might be a stretch now based on recent guidance. NWS has drastically cut their predicted snowfall totals as well to 5-10″ by Thursday. I think that is about right. Wish I had better news to report, and hopefully this system over-performs.
Tomorrow will feature light snow increasing in intensity later in the day with snow on Wednesday night. Thursday may still be a good powder day with the 5-10″ of fresh. The good news is that the systems for Saturday and again next Tuesday look pretty good right now, so at least we’ll have a couple more shots at good snow if this one doesn’t pan out.
In Southern Utah the action will get going tonight, in northern Utah, tomorrow. Low is still expected to track along the AZ and UT border tonight and bring hefty snow to the mountains to the south. Snow will mostly start filling in behind the Low tomorrow in the Wasatch and could be fairly heavy Wednesday night. Still going to stick with 6-14″ for the Wasatch with 10-16″ for the high mountains of S. Utah.
Thursday afternoon and night will be a bit of a break. A weak impulse, coupled with warm advection ahead of the next system, will fire up some snow showers on Friday into Friday night with light accumulations in Northern Utah. The next system will move in Saturday morning and looks to target the northern half of Utah. Still a lot of questions about this system but I’m feeling like it will be a pretty good one, as long as it doesn’t split too much, with 1-2 feet possible above 8,000 feet. It should start to wrap up on Sunday.
Next system still timing for around Tuesday. Possible another system later next week. More details tonight . . . WSF